Testimony to Delay Transportation 2040 Plan

The following testimony  was presented to the Kitsap Regional Coordinating Council’s March 2, 2010  Board meetings on behalf of Kitsap Alliance of Property Owners.

We ask that the KRCC join other members of the Transportation Policy Board in requesting a one year delay of the scheduled May 2010 approval of this document.

The reasons to provide for a delay center around uncertainty of the findings and the need to be cautious before committing the region into this 30 year plan of action, as follows:

1. basic growth assumptions of population and employment don’t pass the reality test – Kitsap is relegated as a backwater.

  • Population growth of 1.4 million persons, with 1.36 million in Urban Growth Areas, and 0.04 million (40,000) in Suburban and Rural areas.
  • Employment growth of 1.2 million jobs, with 475,000 in ‘designated’ regional growth centers, and 725,000 presumably in Suburban and Rural areas.
  • Employment in Manufacturing and Industrial Centers appears to be only 20,000 jobs, meaning that the 1.18 million remaining jobs are not and must therefore be in service, government, education, and other fields.

2. trips by travel mode are heavily skewed towards mass transit, since most of the population and employment will be confined to Urban Growth Areas.  Question, does this require State ownership of private property outside of Urban Areas to offset normal real estate sales?

  • Transit grows by around 140%
  • Single occupant vehicle trips grow by less than 40%

3. highway and arterial lane miles increase by about 6%

  • total lane miles go up from 12,806 (2006) to only 13, 551 by 2040.
  • private vehicle use for 1.4 million additional persons is drastically  constricted onto virtually the same highway and arterial system in place today.
  • Question; certainly if about 95% all the population and employment is confined to Urban Areas and mobility is predominantly by mass transit, then there is no need for private vehicles or highways and arterials –but how can this possibly come about in a free real estate market?

4. improvements to air quality based on the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for six criteria pollutants have been achieved such that the Puget Sound Region is a clean air ‘attainment area’.

  • the six pollutants are: ground level ozone, carbon monoxide (CO), particulate matter (PM10), sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, and lead
  • this was achived with only a 0.2% increase in mass transit use, but larger increases in private vehicle use. Question, if increased automoblie use is bad for the environment, how were good air quality standards achieved?

5. Carbon Dioxide (CO2) was identified as a ‘greenhouse gas’ leading to Global Warming in 2007 at the beginning of the Vision 2040 update, but during the three years of plan development, information has come to light that casts doubt on the need to drastically curtail CO2 emissions from transportation traffic.

  • The International Panel on Climate Change’s leading scientist has now stated that Global Warming ceased around 1995.
  • Global warming is now referred to as ‘climate change’, but the cause for climate change remains to be attributed to increases in CO2, the supposed greenhouse gas that causes global warming. Question, is climate change just the same old global warming?

6. The air quality of the Puget Sound Region is significantly affected by pollution generated in China and drifting across the Pacific Ocean as monitored for years by satellite.

  • There are hundreds of coal fires burning around the world.[41]

^ “Sino German Coal fire project”. http://www.coalfire.caf.dlr.de/projectareas/world_wide_distribution_en.html. Retrieved 9 September 2005.                                                                

  • May 31, 2003 The MODIS instrument on NASA’s Terra satellite has been tracking the particulate pollution for more than seven years, gathering data as most of it drifted east across the Pacific Ocean. About 4.5 teragrams of particulate pollution each year could reach the western boundary of North America, which is about 15% of local emissions of particulate pollutants from the U.S. and Canada.

   Coal fires in China burn 109 million tons of coal a year, emitting 360 million metric tons of CO2. This contradicts the ratio of 1:1.83 given earlier, but it amounts to 2-3% of the annual worldwide production of CO2 from fossil fuels, or as much as emitted from all of the cars and light trucks in the United States.[44][45]

  1. ^ “EHP 110-5, 2002: Forum”. http://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/docs/2002/110-5/forum.html. Retrieved 9 September 2005. 
  2. ^ “Overview about ITC’s activities in China”. http://www.itc.nl/personal/coalfire/activities/overview.html. Retrieved 9 September 2005.
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